Slow Progress

Global warning is once again a hot conversational topic, with wildfires raging along the West Coast and the record (already) hurricane season.  The most often-discussed solution to climate change is to reduce fossil fuel consumption and replace it with cleaner, more renewable energy sources.

How much progress do you think we’ve made in this effort?  What would you guess is the total percentage of U.S. energy production today coming from renewable energy sources?  40%?  30%?  25%?Renewable-Energy-1

If you guessed 11%, you were correct.  As the chart shows, fossil fuels still make up more than 70% of the energy production in the U.S., as of August, when the U.S. Energy Information Administration collected its most recent statistics.  The top part of the graph shows that hydroelectric power has provided a fairly consistent 2-4% of the total, while biomass consumption (including biodiesel) has reached 4%.  Wind and solar (2% and 1% respectively, but growing) are still far behind. 

But fortunately, our cars and trucks are much more fuel-efficient than they were back in the old days, and that helps the environment, right?  If you look at the graph, also created by the U.S. Energy Information Administration, you see that Renewable-Energy-2-(auto-MPG)fuel efficiency in the ever-popular heavy duty trucks has actually DECLINED since 1950.  Other vehicles have raised their average MPG rating (light-duty vehicles like most of us drive; green line) from about 15 in 1950 to just over 23 today.  Chances are, you thought we had made more progress than that over the last 70 years. 

Although solar power is still a small part of the overall picture, it is also the fastest-growing source of renewal energy.  As you can see from the accompanying graph, solar production has leaped off the page in the last ten years, and the Renewable-Energy-3-(solar)trend, if you can ignore the seasonal ups and downs, suggests near exponential growth.  (The green line represents the total solar production, adding up the orange and blue lines.)  Separate statistical tables show that by far the fastest growth is in residential production: think: solar panels on the rooftop.

The graphs paint a picture of incremental rather than revolutionary change in our energy production and gas mileage.  That may not be fast enough to keep the wildfires and hurricanes at bay.